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Table 4 Discrimination of morphology-only model in predicting blastocyst formation in different patient subgroup

From: Does conventional morphological evaluation still play a role in predicting blastocyst formation?

 

Training set

    

Validation set

   

Subgroup

n

Prevalence(95%CI)

AUC(95%CI)

PPV(95%CI)

NPV(95%CI)

Accuracy(95%CI)

n

Prevalence(95%CI)

AUC(95%CI)

PPV(95%CI)

NPV(95%CI)

Insemination

 IVF

70,073

0.592(0.588–0.596)

0.771(0.767–0.775)

0.753(0.749–0.757)

0.697(0.691–0.702)

0.733(0.73–0.736)

8615

0.615(0.605–0.625)

0.794(0.784–0.804)

0.769(0.759–0.78)

0.722(0.706–0.739)

 ICSI

26,305

0.526(0.52–0.532)

0.767(0.761–0.772)

0.712(0.705–0.719)

0.717(0.709–0.725)

0.714(0.709–0.72)

3155

0.546(0.529–0.564)

0.781(0.765–0.797)

0.733(0.713–0.753)

0.719(0.694–0.743)

Female age

 age < 35

82,599

0.581(0.578–0.584)

0.775(0.772–0.779)

0.75(0.747–0.754)

0.698(0.693–0.703)

0.731(0.728–0.734)

9603

0.604(0.594–0.614)

0.798(0.789–0.807)

0.771(0.76–0.781)

0.717(0.702–0.733)

 age35

13,779

0.532(0.524–0.541)

0.749(0.741–0.758)

0.697(0.688–0.707)

0.732(0.72–0.744)

0.711(0.703–0.718)

2167

0.565(0.544–0.586)

0.767(0.747–0.787)

0.716(0.693–0.739)

0.741(0.709–0.773)

Ovarian response

 oocyte4

1677

0.592(0.568–0.615)

0.741(0.716–0.765)

0.741(0.714–0.767)

0.66(0.623–0.697)

0.711(0.689–0.732)

434

0.585(0.539–0.632)

0.752(0.706–0.798)

0.717(0.665–0.77)

0.662(0.587–0.738)

 oocyte > 4

94,701

0.574(0.571–0.577)

0.772(0.769–0.775)

0.743(0.739–0.746)

0.704(0.699–0.709)

0.728(0.725–0.731)

11,336

0.597(0.588–0.606)

0.794(0.785–0.802)

0.762(0.753–0.772)

0.724(0.71–0.738)