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Table 3 Empirical results

From: First trimester screening for trisomy 21 in gestational week 8-10 by ADAM12-S as a maternal serum marker

 

1 in 100

1 in 250

 

FPR

(95% CI)

DR

(95% CI)

FPR

(95% CI)

DR

(95% CI)

(i) maternal age, PAPP-A & free B-hCG

2.9

(1.5, 4.2)

72.2

(65.7, 78.7)

9.4

(7.0, 11.8)

86.2

(79.0, 93.3)

(ii) maternal age, PAPP-A, free B-hCG & ADAM12-S

2.6

(1.3, 3.9)

73.7

(67.7, 79.6)

9.3

(7.0, 11.7)

87.3

(80.4, 94.2)

(iii) maternal age, PAPP-A, free B-hCG & NT

0.6

(0.1, 1.2)

71.1

(61.8, 80.5)

2.8

(1.5, 4.1)

83.7

(75.7, 91.8)

(iv) maternal age, PAPP-A, free B-hCG, NT & ADAM12-S

0.7

(0.1, 1.3)

71.1

(61.8, 80.5)

2.6

(1.4, 3.8)

87.7

(80.4, 94.9)

(v) maternal age, PAPP-A & ADAM12-S

2.5

(1.4, 3.7)

56.8

(50.1, 63.5)

9.2

(6.9, 11.4)

73.7

(63.6, 83.8)

(vi) maternal age, PAPPA, ADAM12-S & NT

1.4

(0.6, 2.3)

75.1

(67.2, 83.1)

3.5

(2.2, 4.9)

81.4

(75.3, 87.6)

  1. Results for a screening test including maternal age, PAPP-A and ADAM12-S, with and without NT. These results are empirical values, standardised to a reference maternal age population (UK 2000 to 2002). Detection rates and false-positive rates for fetal trisomy 21 at fixed risk cut-offs of 1 in 100 and 1 in 250 are given. Figures in brackets are 95% confidence intervals. Substantial decrease in DR when first trimester free B-hCG in (i) is replaced with ADAM12-S to give (v), with a negligible decrease in FPR.
  2. Substituting free B-hCG in the combined test (iii) for ADAM12-S to give (vi), gives a slightly higher DR and FPR at a risk cut-off of 1 in 100, and a slightly lower DR and higher FPR at a risk cut-off of 1 in 250.